Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.028044 0.030101 0.032247 0.034654 0.037283 0.040071 0.043256
2025-06-08 0.024186 0.027043 0.030175 0.033874 0.038138 0.042918 0.048707
2025-06-15 0.021768 0.025093 0.028876 0.033522 0.039109 0.045652 0.053958
2025-06-22 0.019982 0.023603 0.027847 0.033227 0.039925 0.048063 0.058813
2025-06-29 0.018407 0.022183 0.026719 0.032627 0.040200 0.049694 0.062678
2025-07-06 0.017532 0.021522 0.026427 0.032975 0.041604 0.052749 0.068505
2025-07-13 0.016638 0.020756 0.025921 0.032971 0.042491 0.055123 0.073532
2025-07-20 0.016012 0.020279 0.025734 0.033336 0.043847 0.058160 0.079644
2025-07-27 0.015241 0.019559 0.025171 0.033137 0.044385 0.060060 0.084227
2025-08-03 0.014543 0.018892 0.024631 0.032918 0.044850 0.061848 0.088729
2025-08-10 0.013917 0.018285 0.024133 0.032713 0.045298 0.063603 0.093271
2025-08-17 0.013376 0.017764 0.023718 0.032591 0.045839 0.065503 0.098142
2025-08-24 0.012754 0.017107 0.023088 0.032129 0.045855 0.066620 0.101876
2025-08-31 0.012140 0.016433 0.022401 0.031543 0.045641 0.067355 0.105023
2025-09-07 0.011659 0.015927 0.021930 0.031250 0.045850 0.068749 0.109358
2025-09-14 0.011222 0.015464 0.021498 0.030986 0.046077 0.070168 0.113822
2025-09-21 0.010735 0.014908 0.020902 0.030436 0.045809 0.070744 0.116818
2025-09-28 0.010517 0.014737 0.020869 0.030757 0.046957 0.073735 0.124385
2025-10-05 0.010226 0.014446 0.020642 0.030753 0.047562 0.075830 0.130457
2025-10-12 0.010039 0.014302 0.020629 0.031088 0.048746 0.078990 0.138796
2025-10-19 0.009735 0.013968 0.020309 0.030906 0.049032 0.080572 0.144196
2025-10-26 0.009443 0.013642 0.019989 0.030705 0.049270 0.082072 0.149543
2025-11-02 0.009170 0.013335 0.019685 0.030516 0.049515 0.083589 0.155040